Short-Term Holders typically drive capitulation events during bull markets. Bitcoin's drop below the STH cost basis ($93k) signaled weakening momentum, confirmed when price was rejected at this level. Price now trades between the STH cost basis and its lower band ($72k), establishing the current trading range. These cost-basis levels with standard deviation bands ($131k upper, $72k lower) serve as critical boundaries that reflect changing investor sentiment and market conditions.

#BTC dropped all the way towards the support, almost dropped in and now its up again to break the resistance now. Might reject again but in case of break the Daily candle required.

#WCT returned back to the support as expected and expected to move further higher. Just tight the stops and let the trade play.

Active Realized Price ($71k) and True Market Mean ($65k) represent cost basis estimates for active Bitcoin investors, excluding lost and dormant supply. These models serve as mean reversion indicators, with price trading above them approximately 50% of the time, marking the divide between bullish and bearish regimes. The $65k-$71k range now shows confluence across multiple on-chain models, establishing a critical support zone. If price breaks below this range, most active investors would face losses, potentially triggering negative sentiment and further selling pressure.

Here's the Analysis of #ICP :

#ICP is been lying on the major support zone of $4.61 - $4.71 and might move up but looking at the market is kinda mixed but overall we can expect some strong move after major area for short-term, so take it accordingly.

#BTC finally gave some breaks on Daily TF, with strong closing over it. Well, now only 2 things can happen, a retracement or a direct push towards the due to #NFP.

Here's the Analysis of #ONDO :

#ONDO is been reacting off from the major support zone of $0.62 - $0.72, gave a break of the falling wedge pattern. Short-term buys can happen as its holding over the support and can move further higher.

#NFP Today at 8:30 AM ET

#IMX moved 18% in favor and now retraced, still we can expect some strong move, if price dip back to the support zone 0.50 - 0.55 will serve as demand area.

Despite trading around $85k, Bitcoin has experienced its largest drawdown of the 2023-25 cycle, reaching -33% from its all-time high. However, this correction remains within typical bull market parameters and demonstrates improved resilience compared to previous macroeconomic shocks, which historically triggered 50%+ sell-offs. This suggests strengthened investor sentiment even during unfavorable market conditions.

#ETH dropped back to the support zone and pin precisely, and now trying to move up. Well, that kinda not too clear at the moment as it going side by side, need to see strong movement in the market, but overall, expect some up move.

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on Daily TF, move after the break and retest finally moved above the $95,000. The weekly TF need to see the closing over this level, with that price hits the supply area. Next week can be a retracement week.

#MAGIC formed a triangle and after rejecting from the major resistance, and again forming a triangle pattern, in which a breakout is still pending yet. If market remains stable the support looks promising $0.193 for buys or a buys after breakout.

#BTC monthly returns, Usually its strong positive and barely a large negative returns.

Bitcoin's current cycle shows unprecedented resilience, with a median drawdown of just -7%, significantly better than previous bull markets: 2011 (-22%), 2011-13 (-18%), 2015-18 (-11%), and 2018-21 (-19%). This shallower drawdown pattern since 2023 indicates stronger demand fundamentals and investors more committed to holding through market volatility.

Here's the Analysis of #ALICE :

#ALICE is been trendline lower approaching towards the listing prices inside the steep downtrend channel pattern. Also, a bear flag is formed, where breakout is about to happen. This is a Bearish Continuation Breakout, Shorts can be taken with stop above previous swing.

#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :

#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, gave a shallow break and this week price attempted to move up towards the $98,400 area and eventually higher.